Friday, 17-May-2024

Hedge Betting Reliance Factors - UK/European Divisions

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HOME WIN CALLS Full Week (Mon - Sun)
Week No. 41 Week Beginning: 06 May 2024 Season: 2023-2024
The following shows the "Correct Scores" Reliance Factors up to the end of the previous week (until midnight on Sunday), listed in order of Reliability, based on the past 10 matches played at either the Home or Away venue (as appropriate) for all Staying Teams (not for Promoted or Relegated Teams). In theory, the "Average" Reliance Factors ought to indicate where it is worth doing hedge betting with Correct Scores (usually to a maximum of 4 alternative score-lines).
1 11 May 15:00 St. Mirren v Kilmarnock SP 1 - 0 0 - 1 34.50 12.00 23.25 22.50
2 12 May 18:00 Benfica L v Arouca PP 2 - 1 5 - 0 33.00 28.50 30.75 4.50
3 11 May 15:00 Tottenham H v Burnley EP 3 - 0 2 - 1 28.00 5.50 16.75 22.50
4 11 May 13:00 Mallorca v L Palmas SL 1 - 0 1 - 0 26.50 18.50 22.50 8.00
5 11 May 15:00 Wolves v Crystal P EP 2 - 1 1 - 3 26.00 9.00 17.50 17.00
6 12 May 13:30 Twente v Volendam NE 4 - 0 7 - 2 26.00 6.50 16.25 19.50
7 12 May 17:00 Fenerbahce I v Kayserispor TS 2 - 1 3 - 0 25.00 13.50 19.25 11.50
8 11 May 19:45 AC Milan v Cagliari IS 2 - 0 5 - 1 25.00 12.00 18.50 13.00
9 12 May 15:15 A Madrid v Celta de V SL 3 - 1 1 - 0 24.50 17.00 20.75 7.50
10 12 May 19:45 Atalanta v Roma IS 2 - 1 2 - 1 23.50 21.50 22.50 2.00
11 12 May 16:30 B Munich v Wolfsburg GB 2 - 1 2 - 0 22.50 14.00 18.25 8.50
12 10 May 20:00 Brest v Reims FL 2 - 1 1 - 1 22.00 8.00 15.00 14.00
13 12 May 17:00 Trabzonspor v Istanbulspor TS 3 - 0 3 - 0 22.00 11.00 16.50 11.00
14 11 May 15:00 Hearts v Dundee SP 1 - 0 3 - 0 21.50 10.50 16.00 11.00
15 12 May 14:00 Genoa v Sassuolo IS 2 - 1 2 - 1 21.00 23.00 22.00 2.00
16 12 May 17:00 Juventus v Salernitana IS 3 - 0 1 - 1 21.00 21.00 21.00 0.00
17 12 May 11:30 Lazio v Empoli FC IS 1 - 0 2 - 0 21.00 17.50 19.25 3.50
18 06 May 20:00 Lille v Lyon FL 3 - 1 3 - 4 19.50 21.00 20.25 1.50
19 11 May 14:30 RB Leipzig v Werder B GB 2 - 1 1 - 1 18.50 13.00 15.75 5.50
20 12 May 20:30 FC Porto v Boavista PP 2 - 0 2 - 1 18.50 13.50 16.00 5.00
21 10 May 20:00 Nice v Le Havre FL 1 - 0 1 - 0 18.00 19.00 18.50 1.00
22 12 May 20:00 Marseille v Lorient FL 2 - 0 3 - 1 17.50 16.00 16.75 1.50
23 12 May 20:00 Paris SG v Toulouse FL 2 - 1 1 - 3 17.50 25.50 21.50 8.00
24 11 May 20:00 A Bilbao v Osasuna SL 2 - 1 2 - 2 16.50 14.00 15.25 2.50
25 12 May 17:00 Adana Demirspor v Gazisehir G TS 2 - 1 1 - 6 16.50 8.50 12.50 8.00
26 12 May 20:00 R Betis v Almeria SL 3 - 0 3 - 2 15.50 8.50 12.00 7.00
27 12 May 20:00 Strasbourg v Metz FL 2 - 1 2 - 1 14.00 21.50 17.75 7.50
28 11 May 15:00 Newcastle U v Brighton n H EP 3 - 1 1 - 0 11.50 18.00 14.75 6.50
29 12 May 17:30 Valencia v Rayo V SL 2 - 1 0 - 0 11.00 8.50 9.75 2.50
30 12 May 15:30 Gil Vicente v Farense PP 2 - 1 2 - 0 11.00 26.50 18.75 15.50
31 11 May 14:30 Freiburg v Heidenheim GB 2 - 1 1 - 1 11.00 8.50 9.75 2.50
32 11 May 15:00 Everton v Sheffield U EP 4 - 0 1 - 0 10.50 15.00 12.75 4.50
33 12 May 13:30 Heerenveen v Vitesse NE 3 - 1 1 - 3 10.50 21.00 15.75 10.50
34 11 May 15:00 Bournemouth v Brentford EP 2 - 1 1 - 2 10.00 13.00 11.50 3.00
35 12 May 17:00 Konyaspor v Samsunspor TS 1 - 0 3 - 0 10.00 8.50 9.25 1.50
36 12 May 13:30 Utrecht v Sparta NE 2 - 1 0 - 1 9.50 18.00 13.75 8.50
37 06 May 18:00 Antalyaspor v Pendikspor TS 2 - 1 1 - 2 9.50 18.50 14.00 9.00
38 11 May 15:00 West Ham U v Luton T EP 2 - 1 3 - 1 8.00 23.00 15.50 15.00
39 12 May 13:30 Ajax v Almere City NE 3 - 1 3 - 0 7.00 10.00 8.50 3.00
40 12 May 13:30 Excelsior v Heracles NE 2 - 1 4 - 0 7.00 24.00 15.50 17.00
Total Correct Calls 25
Total Correct Score Hits 6
The above figures are "relative" only, and relate to how near to (or far away from) the ACTUAL Score-Lines the Program's originally posted "Anticipated Scorelines" (ASL's) have been, looking backwards over the past 10 matches.

If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".
ASL = Our Anticipated Score-Line
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing
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