Hedge Betting Reliance Factors - UK/European Divisions

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HOME WIN CALLS		Full Week (Mon - Sun)
Week No. 16	Week Beginning: 11 Nov 2024	Season: 2024-2025

The following shows the "Correct Scores" Reliance Factors up to the end of the previous week (until midnight on Sunday), listed in order of Reliability, based on the past 10 matches played at either the Home or Away venue (as appropriate) for all Staying Teams (not for Promoted or Relegated Teams). In theory, the "Average" Reliance Factors ought to indicate where it is worth doing hedge betting with Correct Scores (usually to a maximum of 4 alternative score-lines).


1	16 Nov 15:00	Kettering T v Bedford T	MA	1 - 0	2 - 2	24.00	14.50	19.25	9.50
2	16 Nov 15:00	Spalding v Bishop S	MA	1 - 0	1 - 3	22.50	19.50	21.00	3.00
3	16 Nov 15:00	Morpeth T v Lancaster C	UN	2 - 1	0 - 2	21.00	9.50	15.25	11.50
4	16 Nov 15:00	Banbury U v Stourbridge	MA	1 - 0	0 - 0	19.00	13.50	16.25	5.50
5	16 Nov 15:00	Livingston v Falkirk	SC	1 - 0	1 - 0	18.50	15.50	17.00	3.00
6	16 Nov 15:00	Milton KD v Cheltenham T	E2	2 - 1	3 - 2	18.50	10.00	14.25	8.50
7	16 Nov 15:00	Raith R v Morton	SC	1 - 0	2 - 3	17.50	5.00	11.25	12.50
8	12 Nov 19:45	Lewes v Bognor RT	RY	2 - 1	4 - 1	17.50	8.00	12.75	9.50
9	16 Nov 15:00	Peterhead v Edinburgh C	S2	1 - 0	2 - 3	17.00	11.50	14.25	5.50
10	12 Nov 19:45	Harborough v Bishop S	MA	1 - 0	1 - 2	17.00	19.50	18.25	2.50
11	16 Nov 15:00	Barrow v Wimbledon	E2	2 - 1	1 - 3	16.50	12.50	14.50	4.00
12	16 Nov 15:00	Arbroath v Cove R	S1	1 - 0	2 - 1	16.50	6.00	11.25	10.50
13	12 Nov 19:45	Guiseley v Prescot C	UN	2 - 1	2 - 0	15.50	11.50	13.50	4.00
14	16 Nov 15:00	Billericay T v Bowers n Pitsea	RY	1 - 0	2 - 1	15.50	11.00	13.25	4.50
15	12 Nov 19:45	Leiston v Alvechurch	MA	1 - 0	2 - 1	15.50	7.50	11.50	8.00
16	12 Nov 19:45	Telford U v Kettering T	MA	2 - 1	1 - 3	15.50	19.00	17.25	3.50
17	16 Nov 15:00	Guiseley v Hebburn	UN	2 - 1	2 - 0	15.50	15.50	15.50	0.00
18	16 Nov 15:00	Partick T v Hamilton A	SC	1 - 0	5 - 1	15.00	12.00	13.50	3.00
19	16 Nov 15:00	Ayr U v Queen's P	SC	2 - 1	3 - 2	13.00	7.00	10.00	6.00
20	16 Nov 15:00	St Ives T v Leiston	MA	2 - 1	1 - 3	12.50	12.50	12.50	0.00
21	16 Nov 15:00	Clyde v East Fife	S2	1 - 0	3 - 1	12.00	7.50	9.75	4.50
22	16 Nov 15:00	Potters BT v Cray W	RY	2 - 1	0 - 4	11.50	14.50	13.00	3.00
23	16 Nov 15:00	Accrington S v Swindon T	E2	2 - 1	2 - 2	11.50	21.50	16.50	10.00
24	16 Nov 15:00	Blackpool v Northampton	E1	2 - 1	0 - 0	11.50	8.00	9.75	3.50
25	12 Nov 19:45	Worksop v Whitby T	UN	2 - 1	3 - 0	9.00	11.00	10.00	2.00
26	12 Nov 19:45	Hashtag U v Dartford	RY	2 - 1	3 - 3	9.00	15.50	12.25	6.50
27	16 Nov 15:00	Ashton U v Leek T	UN	1 - 0	1 - 0	9.00	12.00	10.50	3.00
28	16 Nov 15:00	Doncaster R v Salford C	E2	2 - 1	1 - 1	9.00	9.00	9.00	0.00
29	16 Nov 15:00	Hastings U v Cray V	RY	2 - 1	0 - 1	8.00	5.00	6.50	3.00
30	16 Nov 15:00	Stranraer v Bonnyrigg R	S2	1 - 0	1 - 2	6.50	8.00	7.25	1.50
31	16 Nov 15:00	Bognor RT v Carshalton A	RY	2 - 1	1 - 1	6.00	12.00	9.00	6.00
Total Correct Calls				13
Total Correct Score Hits				2

The above figures are "relative" only, and relate to how near to (or far away from) the ACTUAL Score-Lines the Program's originally posted "Anticipated Scorelines" (ASL's) have been, looking backwards over the past 10 matches.

If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".

ASL = Our Anticipated Score-Line
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing