Thursday, 03-Apr-2025
Hedge Betting Reliance Factors - UK/European Divisions
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| HOME WIN CALLS | Full Week (Mon - Sun) | |
| Week No. 35 | Week Beginning: 24 Mar 2025 | Season: 2024-2025 |
The following shows the "Correct Scores" Reliance Factors up to the end of the previous week (until midnight on Sunday),
listed in order of Reliability, based on the past 10 matches played at either the Home or Away venue (as appropriate)
for all Staying Teams (not for Promoted or Relegated Teams). In theory, the "Average" Reliance
Factors ought to indicate where it is worth doing hedge betting with Correct Scores (usually to a maximum of 4 alternative score-lines).
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| 1 | 29 Mar 15:00 | Celtic v Hearts | SP | 1 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 29 | 16 | 22.5 | 13 |
| 2 | 30 Mar 17:00 | Inter Milan v Udinese | IS | 2 - 0 | 2 - 1 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 22.5 | 10 |
| 3 | 30 Mar 19:45 | Lille v Lens | FL | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 27.5 | 17.5 | 22.5 | 10 |
| 4 | 29 Mar 17:30 | Alaves v Rayo V | SL | 1 - 0 | 0 - 2 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 18.5 | 14 |
| 5 | 30 Mar 15:15 | Barcelona v Girona | SL | 2 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 24.5 | 23.5 | 24 | 1 |
| 6 | 27 Mar 20:00 | Barcelona v Osasuna | SL | 1 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 24.5 | 14 | 19.25 | 10.5 |
| 7 | 28 Mar 13:00 | Antalyaspor v Alanyaspor | TS | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 24 | 11 | 17.5 | 13 |
| 8 | 29 Mar 13:00 | Samsunspor v Kasimpasa I | TS | 2 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 24 | 10.5 | 17.25 | 13.5 |
| 9 | 29 Mar 20:30 | Sp Braga v Arouca | PP | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 14.5 | 16 |
| 10 | 29 Mar 20:00 | R Madrid v Leganes | SL | 3 - 1 | 3 - 2 | 20.5 | 23 | 21.75 | 2.5 |
| 11 | 29 Mar 14:30 | B Munich v St. Pauli | GB | 3 - 1 | 3 - 2 | 19 | 20.5 | 19.75 | 1.5 |
| 12 | 28 Mar 19:45 | Strasbourg v Lyon | FL | 1 - 0 | 4 - 2 | 19 | 15.5 | 17.25 | 3.5 |
| 13 | 29 Mar 10:30 | Sivasspor v Adana Demirspor | TS | 3 - 1 | 5 - 1 | 18.5 | 21 | 19.75 | 2.5 |
| 14 | 30 Mar 14:00 | Toulouse v Brest | FL | 1 - 0 | 2 - 4 | 18 | 20.5 | 19.25 | 2.5 |
| 15 | 30 Mar 20:30 | Moreirense v V Guimaraes | PP | 2 - 1 | 2 - 2 | 17.5 | 7 | 12.25 | 10.5 |
| 16 | 29 Mar 15:30 | NAC Breda v Groningen | NE | 2 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 17 | 27.5 | 22.25 | 10.5 |
| 17 | 30 Mar 17:30 | Valencia v Mallorca | SL | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 17 | 21.5 | 19.25 | 4.5 |
| 18 | 30 Mar 15:30 | Santa Clara v Nacional F | PP | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 17 | 19.5 | 18.25 | 2.5 |
| 19 | 28 Mar 19:30 | Bayer L v Bochum | GB | 4 - 1 | 3 - 1 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 2 |
| 20 | 30 Mar 11:15 | Utrecht v Heerenveen | NE | 2 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
| 21 | 30 Mar 15:30 | Famalicao v AVS | PP | 2 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 17 | 10.5 | 13.75 | 6.5 |
| 22 | 30 Mar 19:45 | Napoli v AC Milan | IS | 1 - 0 | 2 - 1 | 16.5 | 21 | 18.75 | 4.5 |
| 23 | 30 Mar 13:30 | PSV v Ajax | NE | 3 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 16.5 | 19 | 17.75 | 2.5 |
| 24 | 29 Mar 17:45 | Willem II v Almere City | NE | 3 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 16.5 | 10 | 13.25 | 6.5 |
| 25 | 29 Mar 15:00 | Hibernian v St. Johnstone | SP | 2 - 1 | 3 - 0 | 16 | 23 | 19.5 | 7 |
| 26 | 29 Mar 17:30 | E Frankfurt v Stuttgart | GB | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 15.5 | 3 | 9.25 | 12.5 |
| 27 | 30 Mar 15:45 | Feyenoord v GA Eagles | NE | 2 - 1 | 3 - 2 | 14.5 | 17.5 | 16 | 3 |
| 28 | 30 Mar 14:30 | Freiburg v Union Berlin | GB | 2 - 1 | 1 - 2 | 14 | 17 | 15.5 | 3 |
| 29 | 29 Mar 17:45 | Fortuna Sittard v Sparta | NE | 1 - 0 | 0 - 3 | 14 | 16.5 | 15.25 | 2.5 |
| 30 | 30 Mar 17:30 | A Bilbao v Osasuna | SL | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 | 29 Mar 20:00 | Zwolle v Waalwijk | NE | 2 - 1 | 2 - 0 | 13 | 8.5 | 10.75 | 4.5 |
| 32 | 30 Mar 20:00 | R Betis v Sevilla | SL | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 12.5 | 12 | 12.25 | 0.5 |
| 33 | 29 Mar 15:00 | Aberdeen v Motherwell | SP | 2 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 6 |
| 34 | 29 Mar 13:00 | Trabzonspor v Goztepe | TS | 3 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 12 | 21.5 | 16.75 | 9.5 |
| 35 | 29 Mar 14:30 | Wolfsburg v Heidenheim | GB | 2 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 2 |
| 36 | 29 Mar 13:00 | R Sociedad v Valladolid | SL | 4 - 0 | 2 - 1 | 11 | 24 | 17.5 | 13 |
| 37 | 29 Mar 20:00 | Nijmegen v AZ Alkmaar | NE | 2 - 1 | 3 - 3 | 11 | 20 | 15.5 | 9 |
| 38 | 28 Mar 13:00 | Kayserispor v Hatayspor | TS | 2 - 1 | 5 - 0 | 10.5 | 16 | 13.25 | 5.5 |
| 39 | 30 Mar 16:30 | Borussia D v Mainz 05 | GB | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 | 10 | 14.5 | 12.25 | 4.5 |
| 40 | 29 Mar 20:05 | Monaco v Nice | FL | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 10 |
| 41 | 29 Mar 15:00 | St. Mirren v Kilmarnock | SP | 1 - 0 | 5 - 1 | 9 | 15.5 | 12.25 | 6.5 |
| 42 | 28 Mar 17:30 | Konyaspor v Gazisehir G | TS | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 8.5 | 17 | 12.75 | 8.5 |
| 43 | 30 Mar 16:15 | Auxerre v Montpellier | FL | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 7 | 14.5 | 10.75 | 7.5 |
| 44 | 29 Mar 15:30 | Casa Pia v Rio Ave VDC | PP | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 5.5 | 21 | 13.25 | 15.5 |
| Total Correct Calls | 31 | ||||||||
| Total Correct Score Hits | 6 | ||||||||
The above figures are "relative" only, and relate to how near to (or far away from) the ACTUAL Score-Lines the Program's originally posted "Anticipated Scorelines" (ASL's) have been, looking backwards over the past 10 matches.
If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".
If the "Hedge Betting Reliance Factor" for a team is low, then it means that the ASL has been way off the mark many times, and therefore that team's ASL is unreliable and inappropriate for use when deciding Correct Scores "Hedge Betting".
ASL = Our Anticipated Score-Line
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing
Act Res = Actual Result (once known)
Avg = Average Reliabilities
Diff = Difference in Hedge Betting Reliance Factor Italicised score-line = relegated and/or promoted teams playing
